Royal Caribbean reports record Q3 earnings and updates full year guidance

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Royal Caribbean reports record Q3 earnings and updates full year guidance
Wed October 30, 2019

The cruise line today reported record third quarter US GAAP earnings of $4.20 per share and adjusted earnings of $4.27 per share which include a $0.13 negative impact from Hurricane Dorian


Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. today reported record third quarter US GAAP earnings of $4.20 per share and adjusted earnings of $4.27 per share which include a $0.13 negative impact from Hurricane Dorian.  The company also updated its full year Adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $9.50 to $9.55 per share, which includes a negative impact of approximately $0.15 per share from Hurricane Dorian.
"Our business continues to thrive and exceed our expectations," said Richard D. Fain, chairman and CEO.  "While Hurricane Dorian had a negative impact, stronger demand for our brands and our key itineraries exceeded our expectations.  Excluding the hurricane impact, we are not only able to maintain our yield and earnings guidance, but to raise both slightly as a result of particularly strong performance in the US and China."

Key highlights

Third quarter 2019 results:
US GAAP Net Income was $883.2 million or $4.20 per share and Adjusted Net Income was $896.8 million or $4.27 per share. These results include the negative impact of approximately $27 million or $0.13 per share from itinerary disruptions and relief efforts related to Hurricane Dorian. Last year, US GAAP Net Income was $810.4 million or $3.86 per share, and Adjusted Net Income was $836.3 million or $3.98 per share.
Gross Yields were up 6.6% in Constant-Currency (up 5.4% As-Reported). Net Yields were up 6.4% in Constant-Currency (up 5.2% As-Reported).
Gross Cruise Costs per Available Passenger Cruise Days ("APCD") increased 7.5% in Constant-Currency (up 6.7% As-Reported). Net Cruise Costs ("NCC") excluding Fuel per APCD were up 11.0% in Constant-Currency (up 10.4% As-Reported).
These yield and cost metrics have not been adjusted to separate out the impact of Hurricane Dorian.

Full Year 2019 Outlook:​
Adjusted earnings for the full year are expected to be in the range of $9.50 to $9.55 per share. This range includes the negative impact of approximately $0.15 per share from itinerary disruptions and relief efforts related to Hurricane Dorian.
Net revenue yields are expected to increase approximately 8.0% in Constant-Currency and approximately 6.75% As-Reported.
NCC excluding Fuel per APCD are expected to be up approximately 11.0% in Constant-Currency (up approximately 10.5% As-Reported).

Hurricane Impact​
Hurricane Dorian had an unusual, one-time impact on our financial performance.  Three main Florida embarkation ports closed on a weekend as a precautionary measure.  These measures impacted 16 sailings and made this the most disruptive storm in the company's history.  The financial impact was particularly large because the affected ships included our very successful Oasis-class, because we closed Perfect Day at Cococay for 10 days, and because of our extensive relief efforts.  The combination of guest compensation, the closure of Perfect Day at Cococay and the relief efforts negatively impacted the third quarter by $27 million or $0.13 per share and the full year by approximately $30 million or $0.15 per share.

Third quarter 2019
US GAAP Net Income for the third quarter of 2019 was $883.2 million or $4.20 per share and Adjusted Net Income was $896.8 million or $4.27 per share.  These results include the negative impact of $27 million or $0.13 per share from itinerary disruptions and relief efforts related to Hurricane Dorian.  Last year, US GAAP Net Income was $810.4 million or $3.86 per share, and Adjusted Net Income was $836.3 million or $3.98 per share.​
Gross Yields were up 6.6% and Net Yields were up 6.4% in Constant-Currency, slightly better than guidance when considering the impact of the hurricane which reduced revenue by $21 million and slightly reduced yields.​
Gross Cruise Costs per APCD increased 7.5% in Constant-Currency.  NCC excluding Fuel per APCD were up 11.0% in Constant-Currency.  The reduction in capacity and relief efforts related to the hurricane negatively impacted this metric by 150 basis points.  Absolute costs for the quarter were significantly better than expected, due to timing.​
Bunker pricing net of hedging for the third quarter was $469.93 per metric ton and consumption was 379,600 metric tons.

Full year 2019 outlook​
The company expects full year Adjusted EPS to be in the range of $9.50 to $9.55 per share.  This range includes the negative impact of approximately $0.15 per share from Hurricane Dorian.  Excluding this impact, we are increasing the midpoint of our guidance by $0.08 per share.​
The company expects a Net Yield increase of approximately 8.0% in Constant-Currency and approximately 6.75% As-Reported.  The company's booking strength has completely offset the negative yield impact related to Hurricane Dorian.​
NCC excluding Fuel per APCD are expected to be up approximately 11.0% in Constant-Currency and up approximately 10.5% As-Reported.  The increase in this updated guidance is driven by the reduction in capacity and relief efforts from the hurricane together with a further increase in technology and product development investments.  These expenses are being offset by expected favorability from activities below the line.​
Taking into account current fuel pricing, interest and currency exchange rates, and the factors detailed above, the company estimates 2019 Adjusted EPS will be in the range of $9.50 to $9.55 per share.
"2019 is shaping up to be another year of solid yield growth and record earnings despite some unusual headwinds," said Jason T. Liberty, executive vice president and CFO.  "As we enter 2020, we are particularly enthusiastic about the new ship deliveries, the development of new destinations, our fleet modernization and technology initiatives.  These investments will help us deliver even greater vacations while generating higher yields and better returns."

Fourth quarter 2019​
Net Yields are expected to be up approximately 6.75% in Constant-Currency and approximately 6.25% As-Reported.  These metrics include approximately 300 basis points from the operation of Silversea, the new cruise terminal and the Perfect Day development.  These Net Yields were negatively impacted by approximately 140 basis points related to the abrupt discontinuation of the Cuba sailings.

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